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2024-12-13 05:42:38
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Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.On December 11th, there were 683 sets of online signboards for new houses and 1032 sets of online signboards for second-hand houses in Beijing. According to the data of official website of Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, there were 683 sets of online signboards for new houses in Beijing on December 11th, with an area of 38,449.38 square meters, including 167 sets of online signboards for residential houses and an area of 22,638.67 square meters. There are 1032 sets of second-hand housing online signs with an area of 93,714.26 square meters, including 928 sets of residential online signs with an area of 88,314.64 square meters.


Reuters survey: the short bet of won is at the highest level since October 20, 2022; Indian Rupee's short bet reached the highest level since November 17, 2022; Investors reduced their short bets on Philippine peso, Indonesian rupiah, Thai baht and Singapore dollar.The Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024. On the afternoon of December 10th, the Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024 to sort out and summarize the latest progress, existing problems and difficulties in the implementation of cleaner production in 2024, study the key tasks in 2025, and promote the completion of the objectives and tasks of the Tenth Five-Year Plan.The Korea Composite Index closed up 1.60%.


On December 11th, it was reported that the U.S. government was divided over the U.S. steel acquisition, and Biden considered blocking the transaction. It was reported that the U.S. Department of Defense, the Ministry of Finance and the State Council all believed that the Japanese Steel Company's $15 billion acquisition of American steel companies would not bring national security risks, but U.S. President Biden was expected to block the transaction. Earlier, some media quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that Biden planned to block the acquisition of American steel companies later this month on the grounds of national security. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States has been reviewing the proposed acquisition for most of this year, and the group must submit its decision to Biden before December 22 or 23.During the "slimming" of the brokerage business department, more than 100 companies were cancelled during the year, and the competition turned to differentiated services. The brokerage business of brokerage companies is welcoming a new round of changes. In the past few days, a number of brokers have announced the cancellation of their relevant business departments. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, in the past two weeks, many brokers such as Nanjing Securities, Guosen Securities and Pacific Securities announced that they would "streamline" their business departments. Looking at it for a long time, more than 35 brokers have issued announcements during the year, "downsizing" hundreds of business departments. Insiders pointed out that the traditional offline outlet business development model has increasingly shown drawbacks and high cost pressure; At the same time, more and more customers rely on online transactions and mobile terminal transactions, so it is imperative to "streamline" the business department to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Future competition depends more on differentiated financial management and trading services. (Shell Finance)Informed sources: The main reason for the extreme flash crash is Baidu's divestment. Many people familiar with the extreme flash crash believe that the main reason is Baidu's divestment. Baidu insiders told that in October 2024, the company sent a financial team to make preparations for the follow-up investment of 3 billion yuan: "As a result, it was found that there were as many as 7 billion financial holes and it was decided not to continue investing." (Caixin)

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